PROGRAMME: "MONEY BOX" "AN INEQUITABLE LIFE"

PRODUCER: PAUL O’KEEFFE

PRESENTER: PAUL LEWIS

DATE: 21ST JANUARY 2001

INTERVIEWEES:

Chris Headdon -Chief Executive of Equitable Life

Michael Foot - Managing Director of the Financial Services Authority (FSA)

Vincent Duggleby - Personal Finance, Radio 4

Mary Francis - Director General of the Association of British Insurers

Stuart Bayliss - Director, Annuity Direct

David Hyman - Action Group

Janet Walford - Editor of Money Management

Richard Dale - Professor of Banking at Southampton University

Ned Cazalet - Independent Insurance Analyst

Richard Ottaway - The Conservative Shadow Paymaster General

Vincent Cable - Liberal Democrat

Susan Wood - Policyholder

Peter - Policyholder

Wednesday December 6th 2,000. An insignificant building in Central London. Three of the most powerful men in Britain meet in emergency session. David Clementi, Deputy Governor of the Bank of England, Michael Foot, Managing Director of the Financial Services Authority and in the chair, Sir Stephen Robson, Second Permanent Secretary of the Treasury. There was just one item on the agenda, Equitable Life. Emergency meetings of this committee are called to protect the financial stability of the country. Why did they meet to discuss the problems of one insurance company.

"Equitable Life, one of the oldest insurance companies in the world and one of the most respected has faulted. I mean this is a company that everybody trusted and if a company like this can get into trouble well it must make ordinary mortals think twice before investing their money with an insurance company".

Equitable Life was certainly in crisis. Six months earlier it had lost a bruising battle in the courts forcing it to pay out billions more than it expected. For five months it had tried to plug the hole by selling itself to another company. But on December 6th it became clear that the last firm left in the bidding, Prudential, was going to pull out. Two days before the rest of the world knew, the three pillars of Britain’s financial stability met. None of them will confirm the meeting took place, still less what was discussed that Wednesday.

But Chris Headdon, now Chief Executive of Equitable Life, told us what he was doing on Wednesday the 6th.

"Although certainty wasn’t achieved until the 7th, we had had indication a day or two before that you know it was possible things wouldn’t go as we hoped and we discussed that possibility with the FSA".

And the Financial Services Authority, Managing Director, Michael Foot, confirms that they were preparing for Equitable Life to be left exposed.

"By that stage we were in a sort of highly proactive mode trying to make sure that if that was indeed the case, first of all that the announcement got out in an orderly fashion, that there would then be as much information available for Equitable policyholders who would obviously be surprised and shocked by this decision".

"Nineteen minutes to eight, just getting some news about Equitable Life, they have to have a buyer because they’re in trouble. Mary Garnett isn’t like that?"

"No, the Equitable Life has just announced that it’s closing to new business with immediate effect. This was the company that was involved in the court case in the Summer".

"The Today programme reporting the news on Friday December the 8th. More than a million people have Equitable Life policies and that morning a lot of them were scared".

"I heard that the Equitable Life was closing its doors to new business on the radio and I don’t think it would be too strong to say, I was utterly and completely gob-smacked. I found it quite difficult to put myself together for quite a while. I tried to phone Equitable Life and I actually hung on for two hours and got absolutely nowhere".

"I wrote shortly afterwards to the Manager at the local Equitable Life Office. I had the feeling that the policy had been mis-sold to me".

"I feel as if I’ve got no control. I clearly don’t understand what’s going on, I can’t trust the information I’m given. What else can I say? I feel wretched about it".

It was natural that Equitable Life policyholders should be concerned but the crisis at Equitable sent shock waves throughout the industry. Vincent Duggleby, the very voice of personal finance on Radio 4 and himself an Equitable Life policyholder.

"The long-term damage at a very inconvenient moment has been done to the concept of pensions. More and more I hear people say, I’m not taking a pension plan out, I’m just going to invest in an individual savings account or I’m going to buy a property. I am not going to fund my pension with a pension and that’s bad news".

Why?

"Because of the risk. The risk that you take if you simply go into the equity market you might do extremely well for two or three years, you might do extremely well for ten or fifteen years in a property. But at the end of the day you’ve got to buy an income for life, and if at the time you decide to draw that income, the underlying investments have gone south, perhaps because of a stock market crash, perhaps because of a property crash, it’s no good saying, oh well, never mind I’ll postpone my retirement for ten years, you can’t do that. You have got to have the money at the time you need it and you’ve got to have the certainty and security, which quite frankly only insurance companies can offer you".

Even the investment industry itself shares these fears. Mary Francis, Director General of the Association of British Insurers speaks for the whole industry.

"One can’t deny that there is concern raised as a result of this case that’s bound to affect people’s perceptions of the industry and lead people to say, is saving going to be worthwhile?"

It’s a sad legacy for Equitable Life. A company that started so well.

September 16th 1762. Eleven men meet in the City of London to agree the foundation deed of the society for Equitable Assurances on Lives and Survivorships. It was the first company to apply the science of statistics to new information about death rates. The actuarial principles that lie at the heart of the modern insurance industry. Equitable was the first to use the word "actuary" for the man at the top. This new mathematical certainty gave Equitable a unique selling point. It could fix the premiums people paid for life and…

"When they die the payout is guaranteed".

Guaranteed. A word that was to haunt the company down the ages. Others rushed to copy the Equitable model, but for the next two hundred years the history of life assurance was the history of Equitable Life. It grew into one of the most respected and trusted name in an industry not renowned for its openness or integrity, a position it strengthened in recent decades. Vincent Duggleby:

"You have to go back twenty years to understand how the Equitable built up its reputation with professional people. I’m not talking about just journalists and lawyers and solicitors and all these sorts of people and the reason was two-fold. First of all, Equitable Life was consistently at the top of the performance tables. Ten, fifteen, twenty years, they were there paying out the big sums of money for pensions and life insurance and when the whole pensions regime changed in 1988, when personal pensions came in, you had what of course subsequently turned out to be the huge scandal of insurance companies right, left and centre ripping the

public off and the Equitable stood aloof from this. They were different. They did not have a high pressure sales force. They kept their costs under control. So in a sense they built on a long-term success".

Radio 4’s Vincent Duggleby and Radio 4 listeners were squarely in the sights of Equitable Life when it got Margaret Howard to tell us, "It’s an Equitable Life, Henry", and more recently, John Peel, to assure us Equitable makes perfect sense. But it was the product that sold it. Equitable Life invented personal pensions thirty years before Margaret Thatcher reinvented them in 1988 and that their heart was a guarantee. Chris Headdon, Equitable’s Chief Executive.

"And policies really came in in the late ‘50’s when pension plans for the self-employed first became available under legislation and in those days they were designed to provide a pension so the guarantee gave you a certain minimum level of income that you knew would be there".

A pension is paid through what is called an annuity and understanding annuities is essential to understanding the story of Equitable Life. You give an insurance company a lump sum say £100,000. In exchange you get an income for life say, £8,000 a year. You never of course get the lump sum back. The insurance company keeps that and pays you the pension out of the capital and the interest that capital earns. So it’s essential for the insurance company to predict correctly what interest rates will do in the future. The higher the expected rate of interest, the bigger the pension it can pay. If it gets it wrong, it may not be able to pay what it promises. When Equitable guaranteed its pensions, interest rates were high, but it set the guarantees very low so it always paid out more than the guarantee would offer. For £100,000 you might be guaranteed £10,000, but in fact get £15,000. Equitable in effect made a promise it didn’t have to keep. But times changed. Interest rates fell and people lived longer. So the fair level of pension fell dramatically. By the mid 1990’s the fair level had been cut in half. By now the Equitable’s guaranteed pensions were higher than those paid by other companies and Equitable Life couldn’t adjust the pension it paid on retirement, it was stuck with its guaranteed annuity rates. Based on a bad guess in the past about future interest rates, Equitable’s promises were coming home to roost and it didn’t want to pay the price. Underlying Equitable’s business is what is called with-profits investment, an obscure term which covers the essence of savings with life insurance companies. The ABI’s Mary Francis explains.

"Essentially your money is invested in a general pool which is then invested on the stock market and elsewhere on behalf of everyone. In the pool you get some profits year by year, but some of the profits are held back and smoothed over the period of the policy, so that the final return you get isn’t directly linked to the ups and downs of the market, but is more even and you take less risk."

As Mary Francis explains, with-profits smooths the risk but obscures the actual value of what you own. Each year the actuaries at the life assurance company dole out a small amount of the profits for everyone but a much bigger amount to those who are retiring that year, what’s called a final or terminal bonus. So all was well, but then the world changed and Vincent Duggleby watched how the bonuses changed too.

"Interest rates started to fall and that is the key point where Equitable suddenly saw this rather obscure benefit that you had, the guaranteed annuity rate, which of course on their older policies suddenly started to become worthwhile and we looked at our policy and we thought, hang on a minute, oh I can get 8, 9, 10%, oh that’s pretty good since the current annuity rates are only maybe 7 or 8. Now at that stage no alarm bells rang, I mean after all, big insurance company, masses, millions of pounds of reserve, surely it should be enough. But there was a warning sign and that was when Equitable started to switch the emphasis from their annual bonuses towards the terminal bonuses, which were not guaranteed".

Equitable used the final bonus paid on a policy as a way to avoid paying out on the guaranteed annuities. They believed that the guarantee applied only to the year by year growth in customer saving, not the extra bonus paid at the end, and they adjusted the bonus to keep down the pensions paid. Equitable customers with the guarantee began to feel cheated.

"Good morning Annuity Direct, Simon speaking. Yes can I ask who’s calling please?"

Annuity Direct is one of a new breed of independent financial advisers concentrating on just this one product, annuities. Its Director is Stuart Bayliss.

"Well, we first started getting complaints from clients about the policy in 1997, and we argued with Equitable that what they were doing was not fair and not right under the terms of their policy through to mid-way through ‘98. Then by then we had reviewed lots of insurance companies’ attitude to guaranteed annuities, and nobody, very few people were getting it right. It was a long time since these policies had been written. The admin staff didn’t know what a guaranteed annuity rate was etc. So there was a lot of review of that, and we wrote a review which was called ‘The Good, the Bad and the Ugly’ and the ‘Ugly’ one, most were in ‘Bad’, the ‘Ugly’ one was Equitable and that’s what started the Action Group".

The Action Group took a simple view. A guaranteed annuity rate meant just that, and it had to be applied to all their money. One past member of Equitable was Prime Minister, Neville Chamberlain, but when policyholders took their guarantees and said, I have in my hand a piece of paper, the society knew what it was worth. Chris Headdon:

"I think what you’re referring to is the situation in the early ‘90’s when interest rates began to fall and the guaranteed rates began to compare quite favourably with the current rates. The question then, was what was the fair amount of terminal bonus to add on to the policy, and the view the society took was that the fair amount was to give a policyholder the same value of benefits whichever way they decided to take them".

So if you’ve got a guaranteed high rate of interest, Equitable would slash the amount of the final bonus cutting the fund you had to buy a pension. A higher percentage of less money left the people with guaranteed annuities no better off than those without the guarantee who were given higher bonuses. That left the campaigners angry and they complained through the press and their solicitors. But so confident was Equitable it took on the Action Group issuing a writ against one of those who was demanding more, David Hyman:

"I bought a certain sort of policy which offered certain sorts of benefits, I still think I’m entitled to those benefits. Equitable were trying to say that, I wasn’t entitled to all those benefits. They brought the case, I didn’t bring it, they wanted certainty and finality and didn’t want this constant drip of complaints to the ombudsman and bad publicity and they obviously thought they were going to win in the courts".

The court case turned on one simple question. Was Equitable Life allowed to pay lower bonuses to those with guaranteed annuities, or did it, as the members claimed, have to apply the guaranteed rate of return to all their fund? In September 1999 a High Court Judge found for Equitable. Nine months later in the Court of Appeal, Equitable lost two to one. Six months later the House of Lords gave the final verdict. David Hyman was there.

"Well, it all happened very quickly. We assembled in the House of Lords to hear the Judgement in the actual chamber and we heard one judgement after another fined against the society and in my favour. We then trooped out of the House of Lords’ chamber and within, I think, fifteen minutes of the verdict, Equitable had put themselves up for sale".

"Equitable Life, the worlds oldest Mutual life insurer has lost a crucial case in the House of Lords which will cost hundreds of millions of pounds. The Equitable says the ruling means that it will have to look for another company to merge with".

The sale would see the end of Equitable being a Mutual company owned by its members. All its actions, all its profits were for their benefit, there were no shareholders. It would change the nature of Equitable Life forever. How did Chris Headdon feel?

"We were both surprised and deeply saddened because clearly we recognised the immediate impact that that would have on the policyholders. As you know the immediate consequence was that we decided we would need to de-mutualise.

We’d had a very strong culture of mutuality and all of us who had worked for the Equitable for years had been sort of imbued with that spirit of focus on the policyholders. So it was a very sad day for everyone".

The court judgement had an immediate and dramatic effect, not only was Equitable up for sale, the cost of the new rights for 90,000 individual policyholders had to be met. As a Mutual, Equitable had always prided itself on giving all it could back to its members, so it didn’t have reserves to meet the cost. Janet Walford.

"Equitable Life has had some excellent fund performance in the past and its policy of distributing money to with-profit policyholders was well liked by the policyholders because they didn’t build up huge reserves, which could have been paid to policyholders. Instead of that they passed the money straight on and because of that they rose up the performance tables and sold a lot of new business on the back of it. I mean, Equitable Life would have continued to be a highly successful office if it hadn’t have been for the terrible mistakes it made over guaranteed annuity rates. If it had kept on operating the way it was, passing on its profits, not having huge reserves. Yes some might say, it was sailing rather close to the wind doing that, but it was the guaranteed annuity debacle which really put the cat among the pigeons".

But if Equitable had acted earlier, could it have found other ways to pay? Richard Dale is Professor of Banking at Southampton University and he’s critical of the Equitable for failing to control its costs earlier.

"The risk management controls at Equitable Life were primitive in the extreme because they should never have recklessly issued these guarantees in the first place without thinking about how they were going to meet them, because these were twenty year plus and you have to consider the possibility of a different state of the world in a different level of interest rates, and of course it’s astonishing that they didn’t do that. But that’s what happened. So these guarantees, as you say, they probably thought they were worthless, they turned out to be extremely valuable and they’re getting more valuable by the day".

Equitable claims it did all it could but without reserves or shareholders Equitable could only turn to its policyholders and there were two groups. In 1988 Equitable stopped giving the guarantees. The court case concerned the rights of 90,000 individuals who took policies before that time who had guarantees, and Money Box has learnt that there were another 100,000 in company schemes who also have guarantees. But the other 820,000 members, who largely joined after 1988 had none and they would have to pay up. Equitable took £1½ billion out of the fund which pays these members bonuses. But would that be enough? Ned Cazalet is an independent Insurance Analyst whose reports are required reading in financial Boardrooms.

"We reckon that the sort of financing required from a potential bidder would have involved putting in around four or maybe even five billion pounds to shore the thing up and to give it a respectable level of financial security going forward. The way stock markets have gone recently, and these guarantees, and there are legislative changes which have caused life assurance companies to increase, you really want to put it on an even keel and you’re talking about several billions".

Equitable hopes to repay the cost to members by selling itself to the highest bidder and for twenty weeks it tried to find a buyer. But these huge and unquantifiable costs led to fourteen companies pulling out and finally on December the 7th, the last remaining bidder, Prudential said, "no thanks". Managing Director, Alan Nash resigned, comforted only by his £200,000 pay off and a pension of nearly £100,000 a year for life. Finance Director, Chris Headdon took charge and twelve days later the President and seven other directors said, they would resign when replacements could be found. Presumably people who knew the meaning of the word guarantee. But was the House of Lords’ judgement really the iceberg that came out of the dark to damage the safest savings vessel on the seas. Why did it seem to take everyone by surprise, even the Treasury had supported Equitable’s view.

"The crisis at Equitable Life has struck right at the heart of the British establishment. Judges, civil servants, parliamentary staff, even MP’s have all put their faith and money in Equitable Life. So it’s no surprise that members have taken a keen interest in what went wrong with Equitable Life and who is to blame".

Richard Ottaway, the Conservative Shadow Paymaster General, has the Treasury in his sights. In 1998 the Treasury regulated insurance business and he has a letter sent to insurance companies in December which clearly shows support for the way Equitable treated its policyholders.

"Well, there’s no doubt in my mind that the regulators got it wrong and they made a mistake. You only have to look at the guidance from the Treasury’s insurance directorate, which in its language said to the Equitable, what you’re doing is the right thing and it was not unreasonable for the Equitable to have relied on that advice. There is clearly a duty of the Treasury to provide reliable advice because the policyholders are relying on it and therefore they are in the firing line for compensation".

But liberal democrat, Vincent Cable, found the Treasury’s confidence hard to understand. In a bar in the House of Commons the Shadow Trade and Industry Spokesman produced an internal Treasury memo dated 6 weeks before that circular. The memo called into question more than Equitable’s interpretation of the law dated the 5th November, it says:

"Our primary concern is over the company’s ability to reserve adequately for these guarantees. The information received to date is unconvincing and raises serious questions about the company’s solvency".

"I was shown the confidential memo, which some people have called a smoking gun, which did suggest that as early as the beginning of 1999 the Financial Services Authority was in possession of advice. But even if the House of Lords’ ruling hadn’t gone so badly wrong, the company was still in serious difficulty. It had major liabilities that it couldn’t cover and I think the question then is, well if that was the case, why didn’t the FSA act more decisively. Large numbers of people have acquired policies in good faith, not aware of the risks they were running".

The FSA, Financial Services Authority, took responsibility over insurance companies at the start of 1999 and its Managing Director, Michael Foot received that memo. What did he say it meant?

"What he was expressing was concern over the statutory requirements we set. Now that is an absolutely normal part of the regulatory process. If firms and ourselves take different views about allowances to make provisions for things like this. What happened immediately after that was a series of meetings, and of course it’s not just the Equitable, other companies were involved in the same sort of issue, about fifty companies over all have issued this kind of business over the years, which was resolved with a much higher requirement set by us, which the Equitable made provision for in their statutory terms".

So when he says the information received is unconvincing and raises serious questions about the company’s solvency, that is a fairly normal way of talking about a company that’s perfectly sound?

"What it means is, we’ve asked questions which we haven’t yet had full answers. What it was signalling to me was that there was an urgent debate that needed to take place and it did".

The circular that came after that makes it fairly clear that the Treasury, and presumably you, believed the Equitable was right, when it said it could adjust bonuses to in a sense avoid the problem of the guarantees?

"Well, that’s what the policy’s clearly said, that is the element of the House of Lords’ judgement, which was particularly surprising".

The Financial Services Authority is answerable to the Treasury and it was the Treasury that Conservative MP, Richard Ottaway, thought should consider compensation. We asked for an interview with the Treasury Minister responsible, Melanie Johnson. She refused to be questioned by us. Her Press Officer gave us a three paragraph response. Here is part of what it said:

"The FSA has made it clear that although Equitable Life is no longer accepting new business, it remains solvent and capable of meeting its contractual obligations to policyholders. Compensation for insurance policyholders is available if a firm becomes insolvent. That is not the case with Equitable Life".

But many people feel that some redress is due. Equitable sold thousands of new policies after its defeat in the Court of Appeal. Susan Wood contacted Money Box to say, she’d been advised to give up her guaranteed rights shortly before the House of Lords put such a high value on them.

"I finally signed a few weeks before the court case was lost and I kept asking him, was this a wise time to do this? I would have been much happier to leave it really until after the court case was settled. I certainly don’t think a decision like this should have been taken with a court case hanging over the company. I think the timing was wrong, and I think the advice was wrong. I feel the bottom has been wrenched from my future financial stability".

And another customer, Peter, was shocked when six months after he took out an Equitable policy, the company was on its knees.

"Well, when I heard that Equitable had closed its doors to new business, obviously I was certainly a little more concerned, and in fact I wrote shortly afterwards to the Manager at the local Equitable Life office suggesting that the information I’d been given back in July wasn’t that good after all, and in fact I had the feeling that the policy had been mis-sold to me".

When Susan and Peter took out their policies, the latest document from Equitable Life was its annual report, published in May 2000. In a clear three page summary of the guaranteed annuity issue it says, "the cost is unlikely to exceed £50 million". Nowhere does it mention the £1½ billion cost of losing in the House of Lords. Why not?

"Well, I mean that was thought to be a very remote contingency and we put quite a full explanation in the report and accounts to try and explain the background, and of course what normally happens at a House of Lords’ hearing is that it either upholds what the Court of Appeal has said, or rejects it".

But nowhere in this statement about guaranteed annuity rates does it say there is an outside chance, and you did say you had recognised there was one, and you had prepared contingency plans for it, nowhere does it say that what the cost of that would be and what the effect would be on customers?

"Well, I mean there are all sorts of very remote contingencies that can affect business and I think if all those were gone into in considerable detail our report and accounts would look like a telephone directory".

But whatever Chris Headdon thinks the regulator could have stopped Equitable selling policies during the court action. So why did the watchdog not even leave its kennel, never mind growl, even when Equitable lost in the courts. Michael Foot:

"Clearly, it was a judgement call and the judgement call at the time, you’ll remember, is that the overwhelming opinion from everybody involved was that there would be a significant number of bidders for this society. It had a very high reputation and people were talking about a purchase price of £3½, £4 billion, all of which would have gone to the existing policyholders of Equitable. So had we stepped in at that point to close its new business, I’m sure we would have been met by a storm of protests at that time from people saying, you are depriving us of the chance of getting a cash payment for the goodwill of this excellent organisation".

But it did allow a lot of people didn’t it to become policyholders at Equitable at a time when those policies would become less valuable?

"Well, I believe the figure is about 15,000 altogether, which is obviously a very small proportion of the total number involved, and not all of those would have been with-profits".

People do find it difficult though to see the Financial Services Authority costs £175 million a year, and yet you have failed to prevent or help resolve this biggest disaster to British insurance?

"Well, of course we regulate some 8½ thousand firms, £175 million goes an awful long way. But again, as I say, we are also not, and we’ve tried to make it clear in recent months, we are not promising a no-failure regime, that is something we just couldn’t deliver and shouldn’t deliver, and you know in this sense it is very important to keep perspective. There is no money missing, there is no fraud, there is nothing of that kind. What has happened is that people’s expectations of the future are lower than they actually were, which is I mean of course a worry for them, of course a concern, and we’re still working very hard to try and deal with that".

The Financial Services Authority not promising a no-failure regime. But there is another point of view on all this. Equitable was offering low costs, high returns and complete security. Were people expecting too much? Vincent Duggleby:

"I don’t think that’s a fair reflection of people’s attitude towards the Equitable’s policies. Equitable had a very big with-profits fund. Now the sort of clientele they had were the sort of people who liked with-profits but don’t want to take too much risk. I mean if I want to take a risk I’ll go into the stock market. I’ll buy shares, I’ll buy unit trusts, investments trusts and so on. I don’t gamble pension money on the stock market. That is why a good with-profits fund, so-called smoothing, as they say, you know, is a very suitable vehicle for a long-term investment. But the problem which we didn’t really fully appreciate was how much "profits" Equitable were making, and as it turns out they were not making enough profits for the distributions they chose to make".

So will these problems at Equitable Life damage the whole idea of these with-profits policies?

"I think it actually damages the whole insurance industry because the with-profits concept was always a means of safety, security, spreading the risk, smoothing the fluctuations, and so on and so forth. What the Equitable has shown is that the whole thing is really in a sense a bit of a sham. In other words you are reliant upon company directors who don’t have to tell you anything, that’s the problem. They don’t have to tell you how much money is in the fund and we simply do not know what the Equitable could afford, even as I speak. I do not know, they may have reserved enough, they may not. But the thing is so shrouded in mystery, that I think the lesson from this is that the with-profits concept has been damaged and people will in future simply say, well I don’t trust the insurance companies to treat me reasonably, therefore I won’t take that product. Which I think is a pity and I think people will live to regret the fact that they will have a greater risk in their pensions in other types of policy in the future".

Janet Walford, Editor of Money Management agrees:

"We always have the same attitudes towards with-profits policies. They smooth investment returns and it helps you to sleep better at night".

In April the government is launching its stakeholder pensions. It’s trying to encourage a whole new group of people who don’t have a second pension to invest in one. What do you think this kind of business does to their confidence in the Financial Services Industry as a whole?

"Dent it severely, I mean we’ve had all the pensions mis-selling scandals over the last few years which started with Maxwell, what more do people need? Every time they open the papers, there’s some new mis-selling scandal but now Equitable Life, one of the oldest insurance companies in the world and one of the most respected, has faulted, and I should think it would make them think very hard before they invest their money. I mean this is a company that everybody trusted".

But Mary Francis of the Association of British Insurers, hopes the shock waves from Equitable won’t drown the rest of her industry.

"I think the first thing to say, is that the circumstances at Equitable Life were one-off, but one can’t deny that there is concern raised as a result of this case that’s bound to affect people’s perceptions of the industry and lead people to say, is saving going to be worthwhile? Of course, I’m quite sure that it is, and that many companies are providing excellent returns for savers. So the first message from Equitable Life is don’t panic".

You say, that Equitable Life had a unique set of circumstances. Can you explain to us exactly what those were?

"We’ll need to wait for the results of the inquiries that are going on to understand the exact circumstances, but I think they included the fact that guarantees were given to a large group of policyholders, that those in turn rested on a bet about the way interest rates would move in the future, that the company seems to have been under capitalised not to have had enough reserves to cover that risk, and the fact that there weren’t shareholders’ funds to help extend the reserves if that proved necessary. But I’m not the person to give the definitive judgement on this. It’s clear though that the circumstances were unique in the industry".

So you can say as representative of the rest of the insurance industry, or all the insurance industry, that there are no other companies with a similar set of circumstances?

"As far as I can see the circumstances at Equitable were a unique combination".

So Equitable Life, unique as it is, gambled it’s own reputation and the security of its members’ savings on what Mary Francis calls a bet on interest rates. Others have told us of course that Equitable remains solvent, can pay its debts. Ned Cazalet is more sceptical:

"The regulatory system has chopped and changed a bit in the past few years and I suppose the regulators make sure that Equitable is seen to be solvent. Well, it still is solvent, but it’s a pretty thin sort of solvency".

How worried should its customers be by this?

"Well, I think we can look at this in two ways. I think it’s fair to say that the security for Equitable policyholders is pretty thin and that must be a worry. Having said that, of course, they have been piling a lot of money into safer investments because they no longer have the financial strength that warrants taking a slightly riskier investment strategy. But there is a possibility that going forward, that contrary to what’s happened perhaps in the recent past, that actually an investment strategy which involves quite a high holding in maybe safer investments, such as government securities and cash, could actually pay off. So I think people are perhaps in danger of getting into sort of a frenzy over this thing where perhaps they ought to be a bit more calm and collected and think of the longer view".

Equitable’s solvency won’t be helped if the majority of its policyholders, the ones without the guarantees, leave. They, after all, have to pay them. That’s why Equitable imposed a fine on those that go. 10% of your money if you get out and Chris Headdon wouldn’t rule out a rise in this penalty.

"Well, the purpose of the adjustment is to ensure that those who want to leave receive a fair value, but that they don’t leave those who decide to stay behind in a worse position than if they hadn’t gone. We set the adjustment at 10% in order to achieve that in December and financial conditions, although they’ve moved around

a bit, on average they’re not that different, and from then, and the 10% continues to be appropriate. But if circumstances change a lower or higher adjustment might be appropriate to achieve that degree of fairness".

What will the guaranteed annuities cost Equitable? Is it just £1½ billion? Chris Headdon again:

"Well, of course I mean the actual cost will only be known many years into the future because it depends on future experience, particularly the level of interest rates from time to time. As the actuary advising the Board on how to adjust final bonuses to allow for the House of Lords’ judgement, I had to take a view and the figure you indicate affects that view, experience over the remainder of the year was consistent with that and as a long-term view I see no reason to change it".

So can that liability of the 190,000 members with guarantees be controlled? Finding a buyer for the whole business probably means doing so. One idea is that the members should agree to share the £1½ billion already set aside but no more, leaving the company’s financial position clear. Stuart Bayliss, the man who formed the Action Group that challenged Equitable Life and led to the court action now wants to help save it.

"Yes, I think what everybody accepts is iniquitous, including those that are sitting there with the benefit, is that these GAR holders post the House of Lords, if they put a hundred pounds now in new money into their policy, somebody else has to come up with roughly £25.00. How you then work out a way of covering all these difficulties, getting a scheme that’s simple, and all the rest of it, is a matter of current debate".

Negotiations on Equitable’s future continue this weekend. The company may be sold in whole or in parts. But let’s hope the managers do better than Chris Headdon admits they did in the past.

"Did the management get it wrong? The answer to that is clearly yes. I mean we now know what the House of Lords decided, a sequence of decisions were taken and everyone deeply regrets the outcome of that".

Equitable Life has provided financial security for middle England for two hundred years. Even two of the judges in the three court cases had Equitable policies. Now four separate inquiries are examining what went wrong at Equitable Life. More than a million policyholders await the answers.

Professionally typed by Maree Shillingford of Shillingford Secretarial Services

Tel: (020) 8560 6036 email: maree@shillingford.intonet.co.uk

 


All material on these pages is © Paul Lewis 2008